Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena
Forest fires cause great damages to the ecosystems. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections are useful tools to provide opportune information on forest fire behavior. The objective of this study was to assess wildfire occurrence and its teleconnections with ENSO indexes in the State of D...
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Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas
2014
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oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article-2922015-11-06T13:26:01Z Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena Ocurrencia de incendios forestales y su teleconexión con fenómenos ENSO Pompa-García, Marín Sensibaugh, Mark wildfires ENSO Pearson coefficient. Incendios forestales ENSO coeficiente de Pearson. Forest fires cause great damages to the ecosystems. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections are useful tools to provide opportune information on forest fire behavior. The objective of this study was to assess wildfire occurrence and its teleconnections with ENSO indexes in the State of Durango, Mexico. Using a correlation approach, Pearson coefficient was calculated for the relationship between the number of fires (NF) and ENSO indexes in the period 2001 to 2010. Additionally, linear regression was used to develop a model for NF as a function of the annual value of the ENSO index (P < 0.1). Results indicated that the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) showed similar trends during the period analyzed (r = 0.74, P = 0.0138) and explained 55 % of the variance (R2) of model regression, indicating that NF had correspondences with MEI in synchronous periods. It was concluded that ENSO has connectivity with forest fires in the state of Durango. Los incendios forestales causan grandes daños a los ecosistemas. Las teleconexiones del fenómeno El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) son una herramienta útil para proveer información oportuna sobre el comportamiento del fuego. El objetivo del presente trabajo fue evaluar la ocurrencia de incendios forestales y sus teleconexiones con fenómenos ENSO en el estado de Durango, México. Usando un enfoque de correlaciones, se calculó el coeficiente de Pearson para la asociación entre número de incendios (NF) e índices ENSO durante el período 2001 a 2010. Adicionalmente, se utilizó regresión lineal para generar un modelo para NF en función del valor anual del índice ENSO (P < 0.1). Los resultados indicaron que el índice multivariado ENSO (MEI) mostró tendencias similares durante el período estudiado (r = 0.74, P = 0.0138) y explicó el 55 % de la varianza (R2) del modelo de regresión, indicando que NF tuvo correspondencias con MEI en períodos sincronizados. Se concluye que ENSO tiene conectividad con incendios forestales en el estado de Durango. Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas 2014-07-09 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/292 10.29059/cienciauat.v8i2.292 CienciaUAT; Vol. 8 No. 2: January-June 2014; 06-10 CienciaUAT; Vol. 8 No. 2: Enero-Junio 2014; 06-10 2007-7858 2007-7521 spa https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/292/155 |
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author |
Pompa-García, Marín Sensibaugh, Mark |
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Pompa-García, Marín Sensibaugh, Mark Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
author_facet |
Pompa-García, Marín Sensibaugh, Mark |
author_sort |
Pompa-García, Marín |
title |
Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
title_short |
Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
title_full |
Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
title_fullStr |
Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
title_sort |
forest fires occurrences and their teleconection with enso phenomena |
description |
Forest fires cause great damages to the ecosystems. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections are useful tools to provide opportune information on forest fire behavior. The objective of this study was to assess wildfire occurrence and its teleconnections with ENSO indexes in the State of Durango, Mexico. Using a correlation approach, Pearson coefficient was calculated for the relationship between the number of fires (NF) and ENSO indexes in the period 2001 to 2010. Additionally, linear regression was used to develop a model for NF as a function of the annual value of the ENSO index (P < 0.1). Results indicated that the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) showed similar trends during the period analyzed (r = 0.74, P = 0.0138) and explained 55 % of the variance (R2) of model regression, indicating that NF had correspondences with MEI in synchronous periods. It was concluded that ENSO has connectivity with forest fires in the state of Durango. |
publisher |
Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/292 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT pompagarciamarin forestfiresoccurrencesandtheirteleconectionwithensophenomena AT sensibaughmark forestfiresoccurrencesandtheirteleconectionwithensophenomena AT pompagarciamarin ocurrenciadeincendiosforestalesysuteleconexionconfenomenosenso AT sensibaughmark ocurrenciadeincendiosforestalesysuteleconexionconfenomenosenso |
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1712116096508624896 |