Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis

The aim of this paper is to analyze the inter and intra-regional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the employment level, production and wages in the manufacturing sector in Mexico. The methodology used is the Spatial Vector Autoregressive Models (SpVAR), which provides a spatial context that allow...

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Main Authors:	Andrés-Rosales, Roldán, de Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo, Carbajal-Suárez, Yolanda
Format:	Online
Language:	spa
Published:	ACACIA A.C. 2022
Online Access:	https://cienciasadmvastyp.uat.edu.mx/index.php/ACACIA/article/view/285
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spelling	oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article-2852022-02-24T21:26:27Z Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis Empleo, producción y salario manufacturero en México ante la pandemia por la COVID-19. Un análisis de VAR espacial Andrés-Rosales, Roldán de Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo Carbajal-Suárez, Yolanda impacto entre/intra estatal empleo manufacturero producción manufacturera salarios manufactureros COVID-19 VAR espacial the inter/intra-regional impacts manufacturing employment manufacturing production manufacturing wages Spatial Vector Autoregressive COVID-19 The aim of this paper is to analyze the inter and intra-regional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the employment level, production and wages in the manufacturing sector in Mexico. The methodology used is the Spatial Vector Autoregressive Models (SpVAR), which provides a spatial context that allows to examine if the lag on the external variables adds valuable information about the local variables. Also, the impulse response functions are used to quantify the influence of a given state on its neighbors (Push-out effect) and the impacts of neighbors on a given state (Push-in effect). This work shows evidence that the employed population in a state can be affected by small shocks in the growth of employment, production, wages and COVID-19 infections in neighboring states. The effect can be positive or negative depending on the sign of the coefficient. One of the conclusions is that the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic had a larger impact in regions where the manufacturing labor is more predominant with respect to the rest of the economic activity. Se analiza el impacto entre/intra estatal de la pandemia COVID-19 en el nivel de empleo, las remuneraciones y la producción en el sector manufacturero en México. Se estima un Modelo de Vectores Autorregresivos Espaciales (MVARE) para identificar si el rezago espacial de las variables externas a una entidad federativa agrega información sobre la determinación de las variables locales. Con las funciones de impulso-respuesta se cuantificaron los impactos que una entidad genera hacia sus vecinos (efecto-expulsor) y el impacto que los vecinos generan hacia una determinada entidad (efecto-atrayente). Se encontró evidencia de que ante una pequeña perturbación (shock) en el empleo, la producción, los salarios manufactureros y en el número de contagios por la COVID-19 de las entidades vecinas, se generan efectos diferenciados sobre la población ocupada de una entidad de manera positiva o negativa dependiendo del signo del coeficiente obtenido. Se concluye que el impacto en la propagación de la pandemia por COVID-19 fue más elevado en las regiones donde la manufactura tiene un peso relativamente mayor con relación al total de la actividad económica. ACACIA A.C. 2022-02-24 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Artículo revisado por pares application/pdf text/html https://cienciasadmvastyp.uat.edu.mx/index.php/ACACIA/article/view/285 10.46443/catyp.v17i2.285 Ciencias Administrativas. Teoría y Praxis; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2021): JULIO - DICIEMBRE; 32 - 49 Ciencias Administrativas. Teoría y Praxis; Vol. 17 Núm. 2 (2021): JULIO - DICIEMBRE; 32 - 49 2683-1465 2683-1457 spa https://cienciasadmvastyp.uat.edu.mx/index.php/ACACIA/article/view/285/318 https://cienciasadmvastyp.uat.edu.mx/index.php/ACACIA/article/view/285/319 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
institution	CIENCIAS ADMINISTRATIVAS
collection	OJS
language	spa
format	Online
author	Andrés-Rosales, Roldán de Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo Carbajal-Suárez, Yolanda
spellingShingle	Andrés-Rosales, Roldán de Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo Carbajal-Suárez, Yolanda Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
author_facet	Andrés-Rosales, Roldán de Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo Carbajal-Suárez, Yolanda
author_sort	Andrés-Rosales, Roldán
title	Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
title_short	Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
title_full	Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
title_fullStr	Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
title_full_unstemmed	Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis
title_sort	employment, production and manufacturing wages in mexico in the face of the covid-19 pandemic. a spatial var análisis
description	The aim of this paper is to analyze the inter and intra-regional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the employment level, production and wages in the manufacturing sector in Mexico. The methodology used is the Spatial Vector Autoregressive Models (SpVAR), which provides a spatial context that allows to examine if the lag on the external variables adds valuable information about the local variables. Also, the impulse response functions are used to quantify the influence of a given state on its neighbors (Push-out effect) and the impacts of neighbors on a given state (Push-in effect). This work shows evidence that the employed population in a state can be affected by small shocks in the growth of employment, production, wages and COVID-19 infections in neighboring states. The effect can be positive or negative depending on the sign of the coefficient. One of the conclusions is that the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic had a larger impact in regions where the manufacturing labor is more predominant with respect to the rest of the economic activity.
publisher	ACACIA A.C.
publishDate	2022
url	https://cienciasadmvastyp.uat.edu.mx/index.php/ACACIA/article/view/285
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Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis

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