Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots

Abstract The main crime committed in Mexico is domestic violence. Tamaulipas had a reporting rate above the national average from 2016 to 2018, with Ciudad Victoria having the highest rate during that period. The objective of this work is to identify the spatial concentration of complaints on family...

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Main Authors:	Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel, Fuentes-Ríos, Francisco Javier
Format:	Online
Language:	spa
Published:	Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas 2022
Online Access:	https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551
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id	oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article-1551
record_format	ojs
institution	CIENCIA UAT
collection	OJS
language	spa
format	Online
author	Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel Fuentes-Ríos, Francisco Javier
spellingShingle	Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel Fuentes-Ríos, Francisco Javier Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
author_facet	Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel Fuentes-Ríos, Francisco Javier
author_sort	Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel
title	Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
title_short	Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
title_full	Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
title_fullStr	Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
title_full_unstemmed	Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
title_sort	spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in ciudad victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots
description	Abstract The main crime committed in Mexico is domestic violence. Tamaulipas had a reporting rate above the national average from 2016 to 2018, with Ciudad Victoria having the highest rate during that period. The objective of this work is to identify the spatial concentration of complaints on family violence and to specify the relationship between the neighborhood characteristics and its location in a hot spot. To that aim, the study uses the social disorganization theory and data of complaints taken from the Fiscalia General del Estado de Tamaulipas during the 2016-2018 period. The exploratory analysis of spatial data was developed by using kernel density estimation techniques, nearest neighbor average, Getis-Ord Gi* hot spot analysis and confirmatory analysis through binary logistic regression, with the help of the ArcMap 10.8.1 software and R statistical package. The findings indicated that complaints of domestic violence are produced from a small number of geographic units. The nearest neighbor mean test showed that there is a statistically significant grouping of complaints (z = - 10.825, P = 0.000). In the Gi * analysis of Getis-Ord, 602 blocks (9.8 % of the total) were identified as hot spots (at 95 % and 99 % confidence), while the logistic regression confirmed that the number of occupants per dwelling and households headed by women are positively associated with the probability of being in a hot spot of family violence. The pattern of the complaints showed little geographic dispersion and relevant statistical associations with the social disorganization variables.
publisher	Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas
publishDate	2022
url	https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551
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spelling	oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article-15512022-12-08T18:19:44Z Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots Concentración espacial de las denuncias por violencia familiar en Ciudad Victoria: un acercamiento mediante la detección de hot spots Jurado-Flores, Víctor Daniel Fuentes-Ríos, Francisco Javier domestic violence social disorganization hot spots violencia familiar desorganización social hot spots Abstract The main crime committed in Mexico is domestic violence. Tamaulipas had a reporting rate above the national average from 2016 to 2018, with Ciudad Victoria having the highest rate during that period. The objective of this work is to identify the spatial concentration of complaints on family violence and to specify the relationship between the neighborhood characteristics and its location in a hot spot. To that aim, the study uses the social disorganization theory and data of complaints taken from the Fiscalia General del Estado de Tamaulipas during the 2016-2018 period. The exploratory analysis of spatial data was developed by using kernel density estimation techniques, nearest neighbor average, Getis-Ord Gi* hot spot analysis and confirmatory analysis through binary logistic regression, with the help of the ArcMap 10.8.1 software and R statistical package. The findings indicated that complaints of domestic violence are produced from a small number of geographic units. The nearest neighbor mean test showed that there is a statistically significant grouping of complaints (z = - 10.825, P = 0.000). In the Gi * analysis of Getis-Ord, 602 blocks (9.8 % of the total) were identified as hot spots (at 95 % and 99 % confidence), while the logistic regression confirmed that the number of occupants per dwelling and households headed by women are positively associated with the probability of being in a hot spot of family violence. The pattern of the complaints showed little geographic dispersion and relevant statistical associations with the social disorganization variables. La violencia familiar es el principal delito cometido a nivel nacional en México. Tamaulipas tiene una tasa de denuncias que se encuentra por encima de la media nacional desde el año 2016 hasta el 2018, destacando el municipio de Vitoria con la tasa más alta en ese período. El objetivo de este trabajo fue identificar la concentración espacial de las denuncias por violencia familiar en Ciudad Victoria y especificar la relación entre las desventajas del vecindario y la ubicación en un hot spot (punto caliente). El estudio se basa en la teoría de la desorganización social y tiene como soporte los datos de la Fiscalía General del Estado de Tamaulipas en el periodo 2016-2018. Para ello, se desarrolló el análisis exploratorio de datos espaciales mediante las técnicas de estimación de densidad de kernel, promedio del vecino más cercano, análisis de hot spot Gi* de Getis-Ord y un análisis confirmatorio mediante una regresión logística binaria, procesamientos desarrollados en el software ArcMap 10.8.1 y en el paquete estadístico R. Los hallazgos indicaron que las denuncias se producen desde un número reducido de unidades geográficas. La prueba del promedio del vecino más cercano mostró que existe agrupamiento estadísticamente significativo (z = - 10.825, P = 0.000). En el análisis Gi* de Getis-Ord se detectó que 602 manzanas (9.8 % del total) son hot spots (al 95 % y 99 % de confianza) de alta incidencia, mientras que la regresión logística confirmó que la cantidad de ocupantes por vivienda y los hogares con jefatura femenina están asociados positivamente con la probabilidad de estar dentro de un hot spot de violencia familiar. El patrón de denuncias mostró poca dispersión geográfica y asociación estadística relevante con las variables de desorganización social. Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas 2022-01-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf text/html text/xml https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551 10.29059/cienciauat.v16i2.1551 CienciaUAT; Vol 16 No. 2. January-June 2022 ; 126-140 CienciaUAT; Vol. 16 No. 2: Enero-Junio 2022 ; 126-140 2007-7858 2007-7521 spa https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551/918 https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551/905 https://revistaciencia.uat.edu.mx/index.php/CienciaUAT/article/view/1551/945 Derechos de autor 2022 Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0

Spatial concentration of complaints of family violence in Ciudad Victoria: an approach through the detection of hot spots

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